Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Pod Dubnom
Gent

Zilina
2 - 5
Gent

Kapralik (66'), Bari (77')
Kapralik (28'), Rusnak (56'), Minarik (58'), Nemcik (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hjulsager (30'), Cuypers (62', 89'), Tissoudali (69'), Gerkens (72')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Zilina and Gent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zilina 3-1 Ruzomberok
Sunday, July 30 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Gent 3-2 Kortrijk
Sunday, July 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 54.58%. A win for Zilina had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Zilina win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
ZilinaDrawGent
23.68% (-0.14 -0.14)21.73% (-0.211 -0.21)54.58% (0.348 0.35)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.49% (0.85 0.85)37.5% (-0.853 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.27% (0.908 0.91)59.73% (-0.91 -0.91)
Zilina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.355 0.36)28.9% (-0.357 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.438 0.44)64.77% (-0.44 -0.44)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.39800000000001 0.4)13.78% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.91% (0.787 0.79)41.09% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Zilina 23.68%
    Gent 54.58%
    Draw 21.73%
ZilinaDrawGent
2-1 @ 6.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.94% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 23.68%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.049 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.73%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 5.17% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.98% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 3.18% (0.086 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.072 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.26% (0.052 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 54.58%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Gent
5-1
Zilina
Orban (23'), De Sart (55'), Cuypers (66', 85'), Watanabe (76')
Kapralik (79')
Gidi (54'), Javorcek (68')
Javorcek (73')