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UEFA Conference League
Gent
Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
GHELAMCO-arena

Gent
5 - 1
Zilina

Orban (23'), De Sart (55'), Cuypers (66', 85'), Watanabe (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kapralik (79')
Gidi (54'), Javorcek (68')
Javorcek (73')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Gent and Zilina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gent

All competitions
Last Game: Gent 3-1 Standard Liege
Saturday, June 3 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Zilina

All competitions
Last Game: Levadia 1-2 Zilina
Thursday, July 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Zilina had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Zilina win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
GentDrawZilina
68.11% (0.0049999999999955 0) 17.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 14.27% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)54.99% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.07% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)8.93% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)30.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Zilina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)35.98% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)72.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gent 68.11%
    Zilina 14.27%
    Draw 17.61%
GentDrawZilina
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 7.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 2.2%
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 68.11%
1-1 @ 7.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.61%
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 14.27%

How you voted: Gent vs Zilina

Gent
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Zilina
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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