Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Zilina had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Zilina win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.