Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni

Torpedo
1 - 1
KF Tirana

Mici (20' og.)
Auro (33'), Monteiro (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haxhiu (87')
Pergjoni (42')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Torpedo Kutaisi and KF Tirana.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Aktobe 1-2 Torpedo
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: KF Tirana 0-2 Besiktas
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Kutaisi win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for KF Tirana had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Kutaisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest KF Tirana win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Torpedo KutaisiDrawKF Tirana
39.66% (0.013999999999996 0.01)26.04% (-0.004999999999999 -0)34.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)50.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)72.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Torpedo Kutaisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (0.012 0.01)25.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
KF Tirana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)63.81%
Score Analysis
    Torpedo Kutaisi 39.66%
    KF Tirana 34.3%
    Draw 26.03%
Torpedo KutaisiDrawKF Tirana
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.66%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.3%