UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 27, 2023 at 6pm UK

Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni

Torpedo
1 - 4
Aktobe

Arabidze (89')
Bugridze (45+3'), Gigauri (45+2'), Arabidze (56')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kassym (34' pen.), Raickovic (43'), Samorodov (73'), Filipovic (90+3')
Samorodov (45+3'), Yashin (45+3'), Tanzharikov (47'), Raickovic (81')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Torpedo Kutaisi and Aktobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torpedo Kutaisi

Last Game: Sarajevo 1-1 Torpedo (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aktobe win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Torpedo Kutaisi had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aktobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Torpedo Kutaisi win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aktobe would win this match.

Result
Torpedo Kutaisi	Draw	Aktobe
31.86% ( -0.01)	26.57% ( -0)	41.57% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.48% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.71% (

0.01)

53.29% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.16% (

0.01)

74.84% (

-0.01)

Torpedo Kutaisi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92%

31.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

67.4%

Aktobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

0.01)

25.3% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.92% (

0.01)

60.07% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi 31.86%

Aktobe 41.57%

Draw 26.57%

Torpedo Kutaisi	Draw	Aktobe
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.86%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 41.57%