UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase

Sarajevo
1 - 1
Torpedo

Ziljkic (11')
Ziljkic (40'), Beganovic (90'), Serbecic (103'), Mustafic (112')

FT
(aet)

Gigauri (90+1')
Pantsulaia (40'), Bugridze (42'), Gigauri (44'), Mandzhgaladze (81'), Andres Caballero (91'), Goshadze (104')

Torpedo win 4-2 on penalties

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Sarajevo and Torpedo Kutaisi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarajevo

Last Game: Torpedo 2-2 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Torpedo Kutaisi

Last Game: Torpedo 2-2 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Torpedo Kutaisi had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Torpedo Kutaisi win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%).

Result
Sarajevo	Draw	Torpedo Kutaisi
44.17% ( -0.22)	26.02% ( 0.18)	29.8% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.27% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.15% (

-0.72)

51.85% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39% (

-0.63)

73.61% (

0.62)

Sarajevo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.63% (

-0.41)

23.37% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.66% (

-0.6)

57.34% (

0.6)

Torpedo Kutaisi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.2% (

-0.34)

31.79% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.77% (

-0.4)

68.23% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Sarajevo 44.17%

Torpedo Kutaisi 29.8%

Draw 26.01%

Sarajevo	Draw	Torpedo Kutaisi
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.17%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.8%