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UEFA Conference League

Larne
Conference League | League Stage
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Windsor Park
Gent

Larne
1 - 0
Gent

Cosgrove (74')
Cosgrove (34'), Graham (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitrovic (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Larne and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Larne

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Larne
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

Gent

All competitions
Conference League
Last Game: Gent 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, December 15 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Larne win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
LarneDrawGent
29.96% (-0.842 -0.84)22.93% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)47.11% (0.935 0.94)
Both teams to score 62.89% (-0.174 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.04% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)37.96% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.22% (0.012 0.01)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.523 -0.52)24.69% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)59.22% (0.733 0.73)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.345 0.34)16.48% (-0.347 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.62 0.62)46.2% (-0.623 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Larne 29.96%
    Gent 47.11%
    Draw 22.93%
LarneDrawGent
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.96%
1-1 @ 10.26% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.08 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.34% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.155 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.56% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.138 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.51% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.082 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.029 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.9% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.11%

How you voted: Larne vs Gent

Larne
18.2%
Draw
6.8%
Gent
75.0%
44