Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.