Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 69.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 10.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.97%) and 3-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%) , while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.