VVV-Venlo
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Covebo Stadion - De Koel

VVV-Venlo
4 - 1
Jong Utrecht

Ketting (7', 7'), Smans (25'), Allouch (56'), Kosidis (70')
Smans (51')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Held (45+1')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between VVV-Venlo and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

VVV-Venlo

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Emmen 2-2 VVV-Venlo
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-0 Groningen
Monday, August 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.

Result
VVV-VenloDrawJong FC Utrecht
49.99% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)25.54% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)24.47% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)53.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (-0.012 -0.01)21.32% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)54.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.16% (0.038000000000004 0.04)36.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (0.038 0.04)73.62% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    VVV-Venlo 49.98%
    Jong FC Utrecht 24.47%
    Draw 25.54%
VVV-VenloDrawJong FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.38% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 24.47%

Head to Head
May 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 38
Jong Utrecht
1-1
VVV-Venlo
Edhart (89')
Jenner (82')
Braken (33' pen.)
Klaasen (84'), Allouch (90+5')
Sep 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 5
VVV-Venlo
2-1
Jong Utrecht
Braken (24'), Koglin (90+3')
Verheijen (36'), Yasar (80'), Roemer (87'), Braken (90')
Mamengi (52')
Ikeshita (42'), Eersteling (45'), Leliendal (85')
May 6, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Jong Utrecht
2-3
VVV-Venlo
Rijks (23'), Mallahi (51')
Timber (78')
Venema (19'), Van Rooijen (33'), Braken (62')
Johansson (21'), El Azrak (30'), van Rooijen (64')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
VVV-Venlo
1-2
Jong Utrecht
Braken (24' pen.)
Koglin (90+2')
Venema (76', 87')
Kluivert (24')