Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 45.37%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.