Danish Superliga | Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Aalborg Portland Park

AaB
0 - 4
Brondby


Jimenez (21'), Davidsen (22')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kvistgaarden (33'), Kristensen (36', 56'), Greve (90')
Kristensen (53')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aalborg BK and Brondby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aalborg BK

All competitions
Last Game: Viborg 2-3 AaB
Monday, August 12 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Brondby

All competitions
Danish Superliga
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brondby win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brondby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brondby would win this match.

Result
Aalborg BKDrawBrondby
29.84% (-1.154 -1.15)24.03% (0.14 0.14)46.13% (1.018 1.02)
Both teams to score 58.9% (-1.154 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (-1.226 -1.23)43.18% (1.231 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (-1.224 -1.22)65.58% (1.228 1.23)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (-1.356 -1.36)27.37% (1.36 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (-1.793 -1.79)62.83% (1.797 1.8)
Brondby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)18.9% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.61% (-0.116 -0.12)50.39% (0.12 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Aalborg BK 29.84%
    Brondby 46.13%
    Draw 24.02%
Aalborg BKDrawBrondby
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.34% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.84%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.276 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.351 0.35)
1-3 @ 5.17% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.186 0.19)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% (0.074 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 46.13%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 15
Brondby
3-2
AaB
Martin Gammelby (2'), Ben Slimane (12'), Schwartau (90+3')
Bakiz (44', 64')
Aug 21, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 6
AaB
2-1
Brondby
Sousa (10'), Ross (87')
Ludewig (27'), Ross (55'), Ementa (61'), Posavec (90+7')
Kvistgaarden (58')
May 15, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
AaB
1-3
Brondby
Ahlmann (77')
Fredrik Granli (45'), Ferreira (54'), Pallesen (87')
Fossum (43'), Thelander (88')
Hedlund (27', 59'), Kvistgaarden (69')
Apr 14, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 3
Brondby
0-1
AaB

Rosted (71')
Prip (33' pen.)
Hojholt (25'), Ahlmann (80')
Mar 20, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
AaB
3-0
Brondby
Prip (34' pen., 61' pen.), Makaric (70')
Fredrik Granli (90+1')

Ben Slimane (67'), Bjork (81')
Heggheim (59')