Danish Superliga | Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
Right to Dream Park

Nordsjaelland
3 - 0
AaB

Ingvartsen (18'), Ankersen (19'), Hansen (88')
Walle Egeli (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Davidsen (50'), Jimenez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Danish Superliga clash between Nordsjaelland and Aalborg BK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nordsjaelland

All competitions
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Nordsjaelland
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga

Aalborg BK

All competitions
Last Game: AaB 0-1 Silkeborg
Saturday, June 3 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.

Result
NordsjaellandDrawAalborg BK
51.93% (0.297 0.3)23.27% (-0.117 -0.12)24.81% (-0.173 -0.17)
Both teams to score 57.25% (0.212 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (0.366 0.37)43.46% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15% (0.358 0.36)65.86% (-0.351 -0.35)
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (0.245 0.25)16.77% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.43 0.43)46.72% (-0.423 -0.42)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.057000000000002 0.06)31.22% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (0.064 0.06)67.56% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nordsjaelland 51.93%
    Aalborg BK 24.81%
    Draw 23.26%
NordsjaellandDrawAalborg BK
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.93%
1-1 @ 10.88% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.81%

How you voted: Nordsjaelland vs AaB

Nordsjaelland
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Aalborg BK
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 17
Nordsjaelland
5-1
AaB
Ascone (45+1'), Schjelderup (46'), Diomande (69'), Nagalo (83'), Faghir (90')
Fossum (74')
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
AaB
0-0
Nordsjaelland
Ross (50'), Kramer (81')
Coulibaly (10'), Hansen (69'), Christensen (88')
Oct 31, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 9
Nordsjaelland
0-2
AaB

Frese (54'), Dohr Thychosen (70'), Pedersen Bredahl (90+6')
Fossum (45+5' pen.), Prica (71')
Christensen (45+2')
Aug 27, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 4
AaB
2-1
Nordsjaelland
Thelander (13'), Fossum (49')
Hojholt (65'), Ahlmann (90+1')
Diomande (1')
Coulibaly (51')
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 18
Nordsjaelland
2-2
AaB
Phil Chukwuani (5'), Woledzi (67')
Woledzi (68')
Prica (22'), Fossum (76' pen.)
Rinne (32'), Ahlmann (55'), Hojholt (60')