Danish Superliga | Gameweek 17
Nov 13, 2022 at 5pm UK
Farum Park

Nordsjaelland
5 - 1
AaB

Ascone (45+1'), Schjelderup (46'), Diomande (69'), Nagalo (83'), Faghir (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fossum (74')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Nordsjaelland and Aalborg BK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nordsjaelland

All competitions
Last Game: Midtjylland 0-0 Nordsjaelland
Monday, November 7 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Aalborg BK

All competitions
Last Game: AaB 1-2 Silkeborg
Sunday, November 6 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.

Result
NordsjaellandDrawAalborg BK
47.37% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)24.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.14% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)46.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)68.52% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)19.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)51.54% (0.064 0.06)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)30.1% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.76% (0.055 0.05)66.24% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nordsjaelland 47.37%
    Aalborg BK 28.15%
    Draw 24.48%
NordsjaellandDrawAalborg BK
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 28.15%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 3pm
AaB
0-0
Nordsjaelland

Ross (50'), Kramer (81')

Coulibaly (10'), Hansen (69'), Christensen (88')
Oct 31, 2021 1pm
Nordsjaelland
0-2
AaB

Frese (54'), Dohr Thychosen (70'), Pedersen Bredahl (90+6')
Fossum (45+5' pen.), Prica (71')
Christensen (45+2')
Aug 27, 2021 6pm
AaB
2-1
Nordsjaelland
Thelander (13'), Fossum (49')
Hojholt (65'), Ahlmann (90+1')
Diomande (1')
Coulibaly (51')
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Nordsjaelland
2-2
AaB
Phil Chukwuani (5'), Woledzi (67')
Woledzi (68')
Prica (22'), Fossum (76' pen.)
Rinne (32'), Ahlmann (55'), Hojholt (60')
Nov 22, 2020 1pm
AaB
1-1
Nordsjaelland
Fossum (62')
Okore (47'), Ferreira (71')
Diomande (29')
Mesik (41'), Christensen (68'), Nnamani (78'), Deen Sulemana (90')