Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Randers had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Randers win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.