Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stade Francis Le Basser

Laval
2 - 2
Concarneau

Camara (14'), Thomas (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Thibaut Sery (39'), Jannez (90+3')
Soukouna (84')
Laval win 5-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Laval and Concarneau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Laval

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Martigues 0-3 Laval
Friday, November 22 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Concarneau

All competitions
Coupe de France
Last Game: Saumur 0-2 Concarneau
Saturday, November 16 at 4pm in Coupe de France

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
LavalDrawConcarneau
37.53% (0.214 0.21)27.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)34.79% (-0.174 -0.17)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.9% (0.149 0.15)57.1% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.03% (0.119 0.12)77.97% (-0.121 -0.12)
Laval Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.20399999999999 0.2)29.35% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (0.249 0.25)65.33% (-0.251 -0.25)
Concarneau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)31.06% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)67.37% (0.041000000000011 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Laval 37.52%
    Concarneau 34.78%
    Draw 27.68%
LavalDrawConcarneau
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.85% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.78%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2024 4.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Laval
2-0
Concarneau
Kadile (35' pen.), Tchokounte (65')
Feb 24, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 26
Concarneau
1-3
Laval
Ibnou Ba (85')
Celestine (80')
Tchokounte (2'), Labeau (56'), Bobichon (82')
Baudry (26'), Hadji Pape Diaw (64'), Cherni (73')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Laval
0-3
Concarneau

Roye (43'), Frapolli (43'), Sanna (45+2'), Seidou (62'), Baudry (90+4')
Labeau (42')
Mouazan (21'), Ouaneh (53' og.), Lebeau (90+3' pen.)
Le Mignan (0'), Bares (48')