Henan Jianye

3 - 4

Jiangsu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Jianye win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Jiangsu Suning had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Jianye win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.