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Champions League

Zenit St Petersburg
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Petrovsky Stadium
Lazio logo

Zenit
1 - 1
Lazio

Erokhin (32')
Kuzyaev (7'), Barrios (78'), Lovren (85'), Krugovoi (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Caicedo (82')
Akpa-Akpro (5'), Inzaghi (55'), Milinkovic-Savic (59'), Caicedo (78'), Reina (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Zenit and Lazio, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 54.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawLazio
54.84%21.52%23.64%
Both teams to score 62.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.46%36.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.31%58.69%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.62%13.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.71%40.28%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59%28.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84%64.15%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 54.84%
    Lazio 23.64%
    Draw 21.52%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 7.69%
1-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 6.49%
3-0 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 4.08%
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 54.84%
1-1 @ 9.62%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 3.8%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-1 @ 4.78%
0-2 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 23.64%