Champions League

Champions League | Preliminary Round Semi-Finals

Jun 27, 2023 at 8pm UK

Kopavogsvollur

Tre Penne
1 - 7
Breidablik

Barretta (31')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Gunnlaugsson (6', 89'), Hlynsson (25', 90+2'), Olsen (45+2'), Ingi Sigurdarson (67'), Karl Einarsson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Tre Penne and Breidablik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tre Penne

Last Game: Tuzla City 6-0 Tre Penne
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Breidablik

Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Breidablik
Thursday, August 11 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Breidablik would win this match.

Result
Tre Penne	Draw	Breidablik
16.16% ( 0.46)	21.54% ( 0.03)	62.3% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.51% (

0.7)

47.49% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3% (

0.64)

69.7% (

-0.65)

Tre Penne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.6% (

1.03)

42.39% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.22% (

0.87)

78.77% (

-0.88)

Breidablik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32% (

0.07)

14.67% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.16% (

0.14)

42.83% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Tre Penne 16.16%

Breidablik 62.28%

Draw 21.53%

Tre Penne	Draw	Breidablik
1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.16%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.53%	0-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 11.45% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 7.33% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.52% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 62.28%