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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadion TuĊĦanj

Tuzla City
6 - 0
Tre Penne

Smajlagic (35' pen., 57'), Celikovic (49'), Kuzmanovic (50'), Sukilovic (58'), Buric (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vandi (51'), Fall (75'), Cauterucci (90')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tuzla City and Tre Penne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tuzla City

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Last Game: Tre Penne 0-2 Tuzla City
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Tre Penne

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Last Game: Tre Penne 0-2 Tuzla City
Thursday, July 7 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tuzla City win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Tre Penne had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tuzla City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Tre Penne win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tuzla City would win this match.

Result
Tuzla CityDrawTre Penne
51.82% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)22.95% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)25.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 58.78% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37% (0.035999999999994 0.04)41.64% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97% (0.037999999999997 0.04)64.04% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Tuzla City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.15% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.59% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Tre Penne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.022000000000006 0.02)29.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)66% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tuzla City 51.82%
    Tre Penne 25.24%
    Draw 22.94%
Tuzla CityDrawTre Penne
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head
Jul 7, 2022 7.45pm
Tre Penne
0-2
Tuzla City

Vandi (69'), Tisselli (78'), Righini (79'), Cauterucci (81')
Nargalic (90+2', 90+3')
Nukic (31')