Champions League
Gameweek
3
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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.78%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 17.17% and a draw has a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (4.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.16%).
Result
Real Madrid
65.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
17.07%
▲
(+0.24)
RB Leipzig
17.17%
▼
(-0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
55.98%
▼
(-0.72)
Goals
Over 1.5
84.64%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
15.36%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
66.33%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
33.67%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
44.02%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 3.5
55.95%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 4.5
31.61%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 4.5
68.39%
▲
(+0.55)
First Half Winner
Real Madrid
47.58%
▲
(+0.81)
Draw
32.09%
▼
(-0.29)
RB Leipzig
20.33%
▼
(-0.53)
Team To Score First
Real Madrid
64.23%
▲
(+1.14)
No Goal
3.81%
▲
(+0.09)
RB Leipzig
31.96%
▼
(-1.22)
Corners
Over 8
57.62%
▼
(-6.17)
Equal 8
9.9%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
32.48%
▲
(+6.17)
Over 9
47.47%
▼
(-5.75)
Equal 9
10.15%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 9
42.38%
▲
(+6.17)
Over 10.5
37.82%
▼
(-5.00)
Under 10.5
62.18%
▲
(+5.00)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 1.5
65.68%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 1.5
34.32%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 2.5
40.6%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 2.5
59.4%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 3.5
21.58%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 3.5
78.42%
▲
(+0.43)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5
49.92%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
50.08%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
23.78%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
76.22%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
9.04%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 2.5
90.96%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 3.5
3.19%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
96.81%
▲
(+0.16)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
65.76%
Draw
17.08%
RB Leipzig
17.17%
Real Madrid
2-1
@
9.31%
▲
(+0.22)
2-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.28)
3-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 21.29% ▼ (-0.36)
Total : 65.76%
2-0 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.28)
3-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 21.29% ▼ (-0.36)
Total : 65.76%
Draw
1-1
@
7.16%
▲
(+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 17.08%
2-2 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 17.08%
RB Leipzig
1-2
@
4.36%
▲
(+0.21)
0-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 17.17%
0-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 17.17%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Vinicius Junior
54'
-
Vinicius Junior
65'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
73'
-
Toni Kroos
75'
-
Xaver Schlager
20'
-
David Raum
50'
-
Willi Orban
68'
-
Willi Orban
71'
Champions League
-
Marco Rose
45'
-
Mohamed Simakan
53'
-
Yussuf Poulsen
77'
-
Benjamin Sesko
85'
-
Brahim Diaz
48'
-
Dani Carvajal
66'
-
Vinicius Junior
85'
Champions League
-
Josko Gvardiol
13'
-
Christopher Nkunku
18'
-
Timo Werner
81'
-
Vinicius Junior
44'
-
Rodrygo
90'+4'
Champions League
-
Federico Valverde
80'
-
Marco Asensio
90'+1'