Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Bayern
Oct 17, 2026 5.30pm
Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 2.30pm
Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Michael Olise

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 5.30pm
RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Frankfurt
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Christopher Nkunku

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 76.17%. A draw has a probability of 14.79% and a win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 9.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.51%) , while for a RB Leipzig win it is 1-2 (2.44%).

Result

Bayern Munich 76.17% ▼ (-1.08)
Draw 14.79% ▲ (+0.39)
RB Leipzig 9.05% ▲ (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.77% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.97% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 15.03% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 68.86% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 31.13% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 50.95% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 3.5 49.06% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 4.5 40.53% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 59.47% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 60.38% ▲ (+1.53)
Draw 27.11% ▲ (+0.31)
RB Leipzig 12.52% ▼ (-1.83)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 72.9% ▲ (+2.67)
No Goal 4.36% ▼ (-0.17)
RB Leipzig 22.74% ▼ (-2.50)

Corners

Over 8 68.71% ▼ (-0.78)
Equal 8 8.24% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 8 23.06% ▲ (+1.38)
Over 9 59.58% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 9 9.12% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 9 31.29% ▲ (+0.77)
Over 10.5 50.12% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 10.5 49.88% ▼ (-0.65)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 73.91% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.93% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 2.5 47.07% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 34.32% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 3.5 65.68% ▲ (+0.61)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 35.12% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 0.5 64.88% ▼ (-1.17)
Over 1.5 14.31% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 1.5 85.69% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 2.5 4.89% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 95.11% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 1.56% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 98.44% ▼ (-0.16)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 76.18%
Draw 14.79%
RB Leipzig 9.06%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.42)
2-1 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.28)
3-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 33.97% ▼ (-0.63)
Total : 76.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 14.79%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.22)
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 9.06%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Bayern
Aug 15, 2026 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Luis Díaz 13' goal
  • Nathaniel Brown 57' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 76' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 81' goal
  • goal Brajan Gruda 52'
DFB-Pokal
Bayern
Feb 11, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Harry Kane 64' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 67' goal
  • Luis Díaz 67' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 69' yellowcard
  • Jamal Musiala 69' yellowcard
  • Leon Goretzka 80' yellowcard
  • Hiroki Ito 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezechiel Banzuzi 78'
  • yellowcard Brajan Gruda 78'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 78'
  • yellowcard Tidiam Gomis 89'
  • yellowcard Tidiam Gomis 90'
  • yellowcard El Chadaille Bitshiabu 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
RB Leipzig
Jan 17, 2026 5.30pm
1
5
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Bayern
  • Romulo Cardoso 20' goal
  • Rômulo 20' goal
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 81' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 81' yellowcard
  • Tidiam Gomis 84' yellowcard
  • Andrija Maksimovic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 46'
  • goal Serge Gnabry 50'
  • yellowcard Michael Olise 56'
  • goal Harry Kane 67'
  • yellowcard Alphonso Davies 81'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 82'
  • goal Aleksandar Pavlovic 85'
  • yellowcard Min-jae Kim 86'
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 87'
  • goal Michael Olise 88'
Bundesliga
Bayern
Aug 22, 2025 7.30pm
6
0
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
RB Leipzig
May 3, 2025 2.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Bayern
  • Benjamin Sesko 11' goal
  • Lukas Klostermann 39' goal
  • David Raum 50' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 77' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 78' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 89' yellowcard
  • Yussuf Poulsen 90'+4' goal
  • goal Eric Dier 62'
  • goal Michael Olise 63'
  • yellowcard Eric Dier 73'
  • goal Leroy Sane 83'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Bayern
Dec 20, 2024 7.30pm
5
1
HT : 3 1
FT Allianz Arena
RB Leipzig
  • Jamal Musiala 1' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 20' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 25' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 36' goal
  • Michael Olise 56' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane 60' yellowcard
  • Konrad Laimer 64' yellowcard
  • Leroy Sane 75' goal
  • Alphonso Davies 78' goal
  • Joshua Kimmich 82' yellowcard
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 2'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 59'

Form Data

Viking FK 3 - 3 Bayern
Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 7 - 0 Union Berlin
Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 5 - 0 Bodo/Glimt
Schalke 0 - 0 Bayern
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV
RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Frankfurt
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV
Como 4 - 1 RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig