Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 13, 2026 8.00pm
Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 34.55% and a draw has a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.19%) and 3-1 (4.9%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.48%).

Result

RB Leipzig 44.24% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 21.22% ▲ (+0.08)
PSV Eindhoven 34.55% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.72% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.57% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 12.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 70.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 29.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 47.86% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 52.14% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 32.16% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 67.84% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 34.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 32.54% ▼ (-0.01)
PSV Eindhoven 32.66% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 51.72% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 2.68% ▲ (+0.04)
PSV Eindhoven 45.6%

Corners

Over 8 66.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 8 8.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 24.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 57.54% ▼ (-0.11)
Equal 9 9.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 33.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 10.5 48.06% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 51.94% ▲ (+0.11)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 53.13% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 46.87% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 28.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 71.64% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 12.73% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 87.27% ▲ (+0.07)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 71.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 44.34%
Under 1.5 55.66%
Over 2.5 21.79%
Under 2.5 78.21%
Over 3.5 9.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 44.23%
Draw 21.22%
PSV Eindhoven 34.54%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99%
Other @ 12.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 44.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 7.11%
0-0 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.22%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 7.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.03% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.54%