Eredivisie Gameweek 8
PSV
Oct 9, 2026 7.00pm
Philips Stadion
Heerenveen

PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 1.30pm
FC Twente 3 - 2 PSV
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Guus Til

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 5.45pm
Sparta 0 - 4 Heerenveen
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Jacob Trenskow

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw has a probability of 19.12% and a win for Heerenveen has a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.8%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.76%) , while for a Heerenveen win it is 1-2 (4.18%).

Result

PSV Eindhoven 63.48% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 19.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Heerenveen 17.4% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.98% ▼ (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.15% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 14.85% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 67.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 32.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 48.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 51.78% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 34.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 65.61% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 53.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 28.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Heerenveen 17.88% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 66.62% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 3.62% ▲ (+0.04)
Heerenveen 29.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 80.37% ▲ (+0.16)
Equal 8 7.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 11.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 70.4% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 9 9.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 19.63% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 10.5 59.01% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 10.5 40.99% ▼ (-0.20)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 65.97%
Under 1.5 34.03%
Over 2.5 41.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 58.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.12% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 77.88% ▼ (-0.04)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 53.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 46.72% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 26.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 10.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 89.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.81% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 63.47%
Draw 19.12%
Heerenveen 17.41%
PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.91% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.8%
1-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 21.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 63.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38%
0-0 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.12%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 17.41%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
PSV
Feb 21, 2026 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Ivan Perišić 45' goal
  • Armando Obispo 46' yellowcard
  • Myron Boadu 48' goal
  • Anass Salah-Eddine 75' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 75' yellowcard
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 86' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 87' goal
  • Couhaib Driouech 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Lasse Nordås 21'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 63'
  • yellowcard Maxence Rivera 63'
  • yellowcard Dylan Vente 64'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 70'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 71'
  • yellowcard Vasilios Zagaritis 86'
KNVB Beker
PSV
Feb 4, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 23' goal
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 24' goal
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 32' goal
  • Ryan Flamingo 46' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 54' goal
  • Ivan Perišić 54' goal
  • Paul Wanner 57' goal
  • Anass Salah-Eddine 62' yellowcard
  • Couhaib Driouech 62' yellowcard
  • Anass Salah-Eddine 63' yellowcard
  • Esmir Bajraktarevic 68' yellowcard
  • Kiliann Sildillia 74' yellowcard
  • Myron Boadu 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxence Rivera 36'
  • yellowcard Maxence Rivera 37'
  • yellowcard Luca Oyen 63'
  • yellowcard Hristiyan Petrov 63'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Soyset Hopland 75'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Allan Courtens Mabeneyshi 75'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Hopland 75'
  • yellowcard Nolhan Courtens 75'
  • goal Luca Oyen 77'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Heerenveen
Dec 6, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
PSV
  • Luuk Brouwers 35' yellowcard
  • goal Joey Veerman 22'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 27'
Eredivisie Gameweek 25
PSV
Mar 8, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Philips Stadion
Heerenveen
  • Ismael Saibari 40' goal
  • Richard Ledezma 54' yellowcard
  • Guus Til 57' goal
  • Ivan Perisic 85' yellowcard
  • goal Levi Smans 72'
  • yellowcard Alireza Jahanbakhsh 83'
Eredivisie Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
Dec 14, 2024 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
PSV
  • Ion Nicolaescu 73' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Heerenveen
Apr 25, 2024 5.45pm
0
8
HT : 0 5
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
PSV
  • goal Guus Til 7'
  • goal Malik Tillman 9'
  • goal Malik Tillman 11'
  • goal Guus Til 30'
  • goal Joey Veerman 44'
  • goal Johan Bakayoko 52'
  • goal Luuk de Jong 71'
  • goal Patrick van Aanholt 83'

Form Data

FC Twente 3 - 2 PSV
PSV 4 - 1 Sparta
PSV 1 - 1 Shakhtar
Ajax 1 - 3 PSV
Utrecht 1 - 6 PSV
PSV 5 - 1 Groningen
Sparta 0 - 4 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 0 - 0 Telstar
Heerenveen 2 - 3 AZ
Willem II 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle
Ajax 2 - 2 Heerenveen