Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.45pm
Telstar 0 - 4 Ajax
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jorthy Mokio

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 11.15am
Utrecht 1 - 6 PSV
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Ruben van Bommel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.68%) and 3-1 (5.44%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (7.41%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.77%).

Result

Ajax 44.68% (-1.22)
Draw 21.85% (-0.19)
PSV Eindhoven 33.43% (+1.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.53% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.37% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 12.63% (-0.39)
Over 2.5 69.79% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 30.21% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 48.47% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 51.53% (-0.47)
Over 4.5 32.07% (+0.67)
Under 4.5 67.93% (-0.66)

First Half Winner

Ajax 37.3% (-1.33)
Draw 34.9% (-0.29)
PSV Eindhoven 27.79% (+1.59)

Team To Score First

Ajax 56.64% (-0.61)
No Goal 2.83% (-0.09)
PSV Eindhoven 40.53% (+0.68)

Corners

Over 8 64.36% (+0.64)
Equal 8 9.58% (-0.15)
Under 8 26.06% (-0.50)
Over 9 54.08% (+0.73)
Equal 9 10.28% (-0.11)
Under 9 35.64% (-0.64)
Over 10.5 43.86% (+0.79)
Under 10.5 56.14% (-0.79)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 53.05% (-1.04)
Under 1.5 46.95% (+1.04)
Over 2.5 28.68% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 71.32% (+0.55)
Over 3.5 12.19% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 87.81% (+0.36)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 71.15% (+1.11)
Under 0.5 28.85% (-1.10)
Over 1.5 44.42% (+1.45)
Under 1.5 55.58% (-1.45)
Over 2.5 21.38% (+1.24)
Under 2.5 78.62% (-1.24)
Over 3.5 9.05% (+0.86)
Under 3.5 90.95% (-0.85)

Score analysis

Ajax 44.68%
Draw 21.86%
PSV Eindhoven 33.43%
Ajax
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.16)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 4.82% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.18)
Other @ 11.71% (-0.41)
Total : 44.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.77% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 7.08% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 2.83% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 2.7%
Other @ 0.48% (+0.06)
Total : 21.86%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 7.41% (+0.17)
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.89% (+0.19)
2-3 @ 3.79% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.73% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.95% (+0.11)
Other @ 8.57% (+0.79)
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Anton Gaaei 11' goal
  • Oscar Gloukh 71' yellowcard
  • Sean Steur 71' yellowcard
  • Don-Angelo Konadu 82' yellowcard
  • Rayane Bounida 82' yellowcard
  • Rayane Bounida 83' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 1'
  • yellowcard Sergiño Dest 59'
  • yellowcard Noah Fernandez 59'
  • yellowcard Sergiño Dest 60'
  • yellowcard Myron Boadu 72'
  • yellowcard Dennis Man 72'
  • goal Myron Boadu 77'
  • yellowcard Joël van den Berg 86'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 21, 2025 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Noa Lang 76' yellowcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 35'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 36'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Taylor 58'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 67'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Davy Klaassen 43' goal
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 66' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 70' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 74' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 18'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flamingo 23'
  • goal Ivan Perisic 54'
  • yellowcard Rick Karsdorp 76'
  • yellowcard Luuk de Jong 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Steven Berghuis 19' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 26' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 34'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 72'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 76'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT Philips Stadion
  • Hirving Lozano 20' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 49' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 52' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 60' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 72' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 90' yellowcard
  • goal Branco van den Boomen 10'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 13'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 40'
  • yellowcard Steven Bergwijn 62'