Eredivisie Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2026 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Tolu Arokodare 23' goal
  • Davy Klaassen  80' yellowcard
  • Youri Baas 81' yellowcard
  • Davy Klaassen  81' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • Anton Gaaei 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 5'
  • yellowcard Kodai Sano 16'
  • yellowcard Noah Fernandez 37'
  • goal Lutsharel Geertruida 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Filip Kostic 74'
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 80'
  • yellowcard Ruben van Bommel 81'
  • yellowcard Ivan Perisic 81'
  • yellowcard Ivan Perisic 84'
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 85'
  • goal Esmir Bajraktarevic 90'+2'

Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 3.45pm
Telstar 0 - 4 Ajax
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Julian Brandt

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 11.15am
Utrecht 1 - 6 PSV
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Sven Mijnans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.52%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Ajax 42.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.79% ▲ (+0.03)
PSV Eindhoven 35.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

69.18% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 12.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 70.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 29.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 48.73%
Under 3.5 51.27%
Over 4.5 32.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 67.88% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Ajax 36.89%
Draw 33.07% ▲ (+0.01)
PSV Eindhoven 30.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Ajax 57.3% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
PSV Eindhoven 39.85% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.04%
Under 8 24.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 9 54.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.88%
Under 9 34.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 10.5 44.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 55.92% ▼ (-0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 51.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 27.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 72.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.24% ▼ (-0.02)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 72.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 27.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 46.25%
Under 1.5 53.75%
Over 2.5 22.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Ajax 42.99%
Draw 21.8%
PSV Eindhoven 35.26%
Ajax
2-1 @ 8.43%
1-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 3.29%
Other @ 11.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 42.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.6%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.8%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.15%
2-3 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Anton Gaaei 11' goal
  • Oscar Gloukh 71' yellowcard
  • Sean Steur 71' yellowcard
  • Don-Angelo Konadu 82' yellowcard
  • Rayane Bounida 82' yellowcard
  • Rayane Bounida 83' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 1'
  • yellowcard Sergiño Dest 59'
  • yellowcard Noah Fernandez 59'
  • yellowcard Sergiño Dest 60'
  • yellowcard Myron Boadu 72'
  • yellowcard Dennis Man 72'
  • goal Myron Boadu 77'
  • yellowcard Joël van den Berg 86'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 21, 2025 1.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Philips Stadion
  • Noa Lang 76' yellowcard
  • goal Davy Klaassen 35'
  • yellowcard Brian Brobbey 36'
  • yellowcard Kenneth Taylor 58'
  • goal Bertrand Traore 67'
Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Davy Klaassen 43' goal
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 66' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 70' yellowcard
  • Mika Godts 74' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 18'
  • yellowcard Ryan Flamingo 23'
  • goal Ivan Perisic 54'
  • yellowcard Rick Karsdorp 76'
  • yellowcard Luuk de Jong 90'+5'
Eredivisie Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Steven Berghuis 19' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 26' yellowcard
  • goal Luuk de Jong 34'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 72'
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 76'
  • yellowcard Hirving Lozano 77'
Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 2
FT Philips Stadion
  • Hirving Lozano 20' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 49' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 52' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 60' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 72' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 90' yellowcard
  • goal Branco van den Boomen 10'
  • yellowcard Jorrel Hato 13'
  • goal Brian Brobbey 40'
  • yellowcard Steven Bergwijn 62'