Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2026 3.45pm
BUKO Stadion

Telstar vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 7.00pm
Telstar 1 - 3 Sparta
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Patrick Brouwer

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 3.45pm
Ajax 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Jorthy Mokio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw has a probability of 21.34% and a win for Telstar has a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.51%) , while for a Telstar win it is 2-1 (5.19%).

Result

Telstar 19.6% (+0.25)
Draw 21.34% (-0.13)
Ajax 59.06% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.48% (+0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.16% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 19.84% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 58.78% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 41.22% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 37% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 62.97% (-0.35)
Over 4.5 23.6% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 76.4% (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Telstar 19.92% (+0.04)
Draw 35.67% (+0.06)
Ajax 44.41% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Telstar 34.29% (+0.14)
No Goal 5.23% (-0.15)
Ajax 60.48% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 64.78% (+0.24)
Equal 8 10.15% (-0.01)
Under 8 25.07% (-0.22)
Over 9 53.87% (+0.23)
Equal 9 10.92% (+0.01)
Under 9 35.22% (-0.24)
Over 10.5 43.05% (+0.21)
Under 10.5 56.95% (-0.21)

Telstar Goals

Over 1.5 24.97% (+0.34)
Under 1.5 75.03% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 8.18% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 91.82% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 2.4% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.6% (-0.06)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 83.95% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 16.05% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 57.87% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 42.13% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 31.68% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 68.32% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 14.41% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 85.59% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Telstar 19.61%
Draw 21.34%
Ajax 59.07%
Telstar
2-1 @ 5.19% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 5.06% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.56% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.81% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.31% (+0.06)
Total : 19.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 21.34%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.91% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.21)
0-2 @ 9.29% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 6.39% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 5.77% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.82% (+0.01)
Other @ 14.32% (+0.10)
Total : 59.07%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2026 1.30pm
BUKO Stadion
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
KNVB Beker
Dec 19, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Daniele Rugani 64' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 86' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Bakker 45'+2'