Eredivisie Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2026 3.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT BUKO Stadion
  • goal Davy Klaassen  37'
  • goal Steven Berghuis 56'
  • goal Tolu Arokodare 60'
  • goal Marcos Leonardo 78'

Telstar vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Telstar

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2026 7.00pm
Telstar 1 - 3 Sparta
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Patrick Brouwer

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 3.45pm
Ajax 2 - 2 Heerenveen
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Jorthy Mokio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.39% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%) , while for a Telstar win it was 2-1 (5.19%).

Result

Telstar 19.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.39% ▲ (+0.06)
Ajax 58.97% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.53% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.89% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 58.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 41.25% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 62.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 23.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 76.42% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Telstar 19.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 35.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Ajax 44.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Telstar 34.3% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Ajax 60.48%

Corners

Over 8 64.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Equal 8 10.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 25.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 53.92% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 10.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 35.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 10.5 43.1% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 56.91% ▼ (-0.05)

Telstar Goals

Over 1.5 25% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.81% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 83.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 16.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 57.78% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 42.22% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 31.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 68.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 14.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 85.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Telstar 19.63%
Draw 21.37%
Ajax 58.97%
Telstar
2-1 @ 5.19%
1-0 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.56%
3-1 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 19.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 21.37%
Ajax
1-2 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 9.57%
0-2 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 14.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 58.97%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2026 1.30pm
BUKO Stadion
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
KNVB Beker
Dec 19, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
  • Kian Fitz-Jim 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Daniele Rugani 64' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 86' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Bakker 45'+2'