Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.91% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%) , while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.