Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 10, 2026 5.45pm
Philips Stadion

PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk has a probability of 28.68% and a draw has a probability of 22.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win is 1-2 (6.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.7%).

Result

PSV Eindhoven 48.33%
Draw 22.95% (-0.04)
Shakhtar Donetsk 28.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.46% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.23% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 19.77% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 59.78% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 40.22% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 38.79% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 61.21% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 25.11% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 74.89% (+0.13)

First Half Winner

PSV Eindhoven 34.31%
Draw 38.37%
Shakhtar Donetsk 27.32%

Team To Score First

PSV Eindhoven 54.53%
No Goal 5.67% (+0.01)
Shakhtar Donetsk 39.8% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.45%
Equal 8 10.87%
Under 8 34.68%
Over 9 43.63%
Equal 9 10.82%
Under 9 45.55%
Over 10.5 33.68%
Under 10.5 66.32%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 1.5 49.95% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 50.05% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 26.45% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 73.55% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 10.86% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 89.14% (+0.08)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 63.74% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 36.26% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 34.91% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 65.09% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 14.75% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 85.25% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.09%
Under 3.5 93.91%

Score analysis

PSV Eindhoven 48.33%
Draw 22.96%
Shakhtar Donetsk 28.68%
PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 8.53% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-0 @ 4.55% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.03)
Other @ 10.61% (-0.09)
Total : 48.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.7%
0-0 @ 5.67% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.96%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 5.84%
Total : 28.68%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Philips Stadion
  • Olivier Boscagli 59' yellowcard
  • Ismael Saibari 84' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 87' goal
  • Malik Tillman 90' goal
  • Malik Tillman 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Pepi 90'+5' goal
  • goal Danylo Sikan 8'
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 37'
  • redcard Pedrinho 69'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Kryskiv 87'
  • yellowcard Marino Pusic 90'+1'