Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Atatürk Spor Kompleksi Matlı Stadyumu
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 39'

Bursaspor vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bursaspor

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 6, 2026 2.00pm
Arges 1 - 2 Bursaspor

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 5.00pm
Shakhtar 0 - 0 Al Ula

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 48.21%. A win for Bursaspor had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Bursaspor win was 1-0 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Bursaspor 26.22% (+0.17)
Draw 25.57% (+0.20)
Shakhtar Donetsk 48.21% (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.46% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.12% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 24.88% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 49.66% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 50.34% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 29.17% (-1.01)
Under 3.5 70.83% (+1.02)
Over 4.5 16.88% (-0.68)
Under 4.5 83.12% (+0.69)

First Half Winner

Bursaspor 24.19% (-0.18)
Draw 41.5% (+0.39)
Shakhtar Donetsk 34.31% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Bursaspor 38.47% (+0.25)
No Goal 7.18% (+0.14)
Shakhtar Donetsk 54.35% (-0.38)

Corners

Over 8 51.92% (-0.06)
Equal 8 10.53% (+0.02)
Under 8 37.56% (+0.06)
Over 9 41.61% (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.31% (+0.01)
Under 9 48.08% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 32.25% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 67.75% (+0.07)

Bursaspor Goals

Over 1.5 26.77% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 73.23% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 9.22% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 90.78% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 3.05% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 96.95% (+0.14)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 76.81% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 23.19% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 45.38% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 54.62% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 21.84% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 78.16% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 8.25% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 91.75% (+0.27)

Score analysis

Bursaspor 26.22%
Draw 25.58%
Shakhtar Donetsk 48.21%
Bursaspor
1-0 @ 7.82% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 5.77% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 4.18% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.11)
Other @ 3.04% (-0.13)
Total : 26.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.1% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 7.18% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.58%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 9.89% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 9.08% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 8.17% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.19)
0-3 @ 4.66% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.13)
Other @ 8.24% (-0.27)
Total : 48.21%