Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2026 6.00pm
Timsah Arena

Bursaspor vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bursaspor

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 6, 2026 2.00pm
Arges 1 - 2 Bursaspor

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 5.00pm
Shakhtar 0 - 0 Al Ula

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Bursaspor has a probability of 26.05% and a draw has a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Bursaspor win is 1-0 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).

Result

Bursaspor 26.05%
Draw 25.37% (+0.02)
Shakhtar Donetsk 48.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.42% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.51% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 24.49% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 50.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.6% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.18% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 69.82% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 17.56% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 82.44% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Bursaspor 24.37% (+0.02)
Draw 41.12%
Shakhtar Donetsk 34.51% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Bursaspor 38.23% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.04% (+0.01)
Shakhtar Donetsk 54.73% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.98% (-0.25)
Equal 8 10.51% (+0.04)
Under 8 37.51% (+0.22)
Over 9 41.67% (-0.29)
Equal 9 10.3% (+0.03)
Under 9 48.02% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 32.32% (-0.28)
Under 10.5 67.68% (+0.28)

Bursaspor Goals

Over 1.5 27.01% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.99% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.48% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.52% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.18% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.82% (+0.02)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 77.14% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.86% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.19% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.81% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.44% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 77.56% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.52% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.48% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bursaspor 26.05%
Draw 25.38%
Shakhtar Donetsk 48.6%
Bursaspor
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.64% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.17% (-0.03)
Total : 26.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.38%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.03% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.2% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.63% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.51% (-0.01)
Total : 48.6%