Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 71.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.49% and a win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 11.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%) , while for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win it was 1-0 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.