Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.34% and a win for SK Poltava had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%) , while for a SK Poltava win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.