Ukrainian Premier League
Apr 17, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Sergiy Sukhanov 67' yellowcard
  • Oleg Slobodyan 82' yellowcard
  • Taras Lyakh 83' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • Yegor Prokopenko 85' yellowcard
  • R. Volokhatyi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard V. Sad 54'
  • yellowcard Andriy Savenkov 69'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Plakhtyr 74'
  • yellowcard Mykola Buzhyn 74'
  • yellowcard Mykyta Kononov 82'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'

Obolon Kyiv vs SK Poltava - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 4.00pm
Veres 2 - 0 Obolon
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Denys Ustymenko

SK Poltava

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 11.00am
SK Poltava 0 - 4 Polissya
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Danyil Sukhoruchko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.49% and a win for SK Poltava had a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a SK Poltava win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Obolon Kyiv 55.96% (+1.29)
Draw 24.49% (+0.61)
SK Poltava 19.55% (-1.91)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.69% (-2.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 73% (-1.30)
Under 1.5 27% (+1.31)
Over 2.5 49.1% (-1.65)
Under 2.5 50.9% (+1.65)
Over 3.5 26.94% (-1.03)
Under 3.5 73.06% (+1.04)
Over 4.5 15.84% (-0.72)
Under 4.5 84.16% (+0.72)

First Half Winner

Obolon Kyiv 38.84% (+2.65)
Draw 41.02% (-0.22)
SK Poltava 20.14% (-2.41)

Team To Score First

Obolon Kyiv 61.06% (+4.79)
No Goal 8.34% (+0.79)
SK Poltava 30.6% (-5.56)

Corners

Over 8 55.34% (-2.43)
Equal 8 11.96% (+0.31)
Under 8 32.7% (+2.14)
Over 9 43.38% (-2.51)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.08)
Under 9 44.66% (+2.43)
Over 10.5 32.42% (-2.37)
Under 10.5 67.58% (+2.38)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 1.5 49.63% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 50.37% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.31% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 75.69% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 9.47% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 90.53% (+0.15)

SK Poltava Goals

Over 0.5 53.74% (-1.90)
Under 0.5 46.26% (+1.90)
Over 1.5 21.35% (-1.99)
Under 1.5 78.65% (+2.00)
Over 2.5 6.14% (-1.19)
Under 2.5 93.86% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 1.53% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 98.47% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Obolon Kyiv 55.96%
Draw 24.49%
SK Poltava 19.54%
Obolon Kyiv
1-0 @ 12.53% (+0.69)
2-0 @ 10.01% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.92% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.26% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.93% (+0.13)
Other @ 9.45% (-0.13)
Total : 55.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.34% (+0.79)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.02)
Total : 24.49%
SK Poltava
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.44)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.26)
Other @ 1.51% (-0.36)
Total : 19.54%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Oct 17, 2025 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT