Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for SK Poltava had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest SK Poltava win was 1-0 (10.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.