Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.02% and a win for SK Poltava had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%) , while for a SK Poltava win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.