Ukrainian Premier League
May 10, 2026 1.30pm
0
0
LIVE Arena L'viv

SK Poltava vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SK Poltava

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 1, 2026 1.30pm
SK Poltava 3 - 3 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Danyil Sukhoruchko

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 3, 2026 4.00pm
Dynamo Kiev 1 - 2 Shakhtar
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Lassina Traoré

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 82.55%. A draw has a probability of 11.46% and a win for SK Poltava has a probability of 6.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 0-2 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-3 (11.76%) and 0-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.62%) , while for a SK Poltava win it is 1-0 (2.37%).

Result

SK Poltava 6.01% (+1.94)
Draw 11.46% (+2.31)
Shakhtar Donetsk 82.55% (-4.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.17% (+3.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.99% (-1.72)
Under 1.5 16.01% (+1.73)
Over 2.5 63.92% (-2.80)
Under 2.5 36.08% (+2.80)
Over 3.5 40.88% (-3.10)
Under 3.5 59.12% (+3.10)
Over 4.5 30.46% (-4.15)
Under 4.5 69.54% (+4.15)

First Half Winner

SK Poltava 7.91%
Draw 27.65%
Shakhtar Donetsk 64.44%

Team To Score First

SK Poltava 13.14% (-0.08)
No Goal 3.64% (+0.48)
Shakhtar Donetsk 83.22% (-0.41)

Corners

Over 8 45.14%
Equal 8 12.67%
Under 8 42.19%
Over 9 33.46%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 54.86%
Over 10.5 23.59%
Under 10.5 76.41%

SK Poltava Goals

Over 1.5 8.33% (+2.41)
Under 1.5 91.67% (-2.41)
Over 2.5 0.65% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 99.35% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 0.02%
Under 3.5 99.98%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 92.7% (-1.60)
Under 0.5 7.3% (+1.60)
Over 1.5 74.9% (-3.92)
Under 1.5 25.1% (+3.93)
Over 2.5 50.28% (-5.25)
Under 2.5 49.72% (+5.25)
Over 3.5 27.72% (-4.79)
Under 3.5 72.28% (+4.79)

Score analysis

SK Poltava 6.01%
Draw 11.48%
Shakhtar Donetsk 82.54%
SK Poltava
1-0 @ 2.37% (+0.65)
2-1 @ 2.08% (+0.62)
2-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 6.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.62% (+1.09)
0-0 @ 3.64% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 2.12% (+0.67)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 11.48%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-2 @ 13.43% (-0.31)
0-3 @ 11.76% (-1.23)
0-1 @ 10.03% (+0.56)
1-2 @ 8.9% (+0.81)
1-3 @ 8.24% (+0.29)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.41)
Other @ 27.71% (-4.79)
Total : 82.54%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 9, 2025 4.00pm
7
1
HT : 0 0
FT