Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 13, 2026 4.00pm
Arena L'viv

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon Kyiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 10, 2026 1.30pm
SK Poltava 0 - 4 Shakhtar
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Lassina Traoré

Obolon Kyiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 9, 2026 4.00pm
Obolon 2 - 2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Denys Ustymenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 75.6%. A draw has a probability of 15.89% and a win for Obolon Kyiv has a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.52%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.28%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it is 1-2 (3.07%).

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk 75.6% (-0.64)
Draw 15.89% (+0.30)
Obolon Kyiv 8.53% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.05% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 81% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 19% (+0.31)
Over 2.5 59.95% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 40.05% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 34.82% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 65.18% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 24.17% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 75.83% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Shakhtar Donetsk 53.78% (-0.55)
Draw 35.35% (+0.36)
Obolon Kyiv 10.87% (+0.21)

Team To Score First

Shakhtar Donetsk 74.58% (-0.44)
No Goal 4.79% (+0.13)
Obolon Kyiv 20.63% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 53.17% (-0.37)
Equal 8 11.91% (-0.02)
Under 8 34.93% (+0.40)
Over 9 41.46% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.7% (-0.07)
Under 9 46.83% (+0.37)
Over 10.5 30.9% (-0.25)
Under 10.5 69.1% (+0.24)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 1.5 68.45% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 31.55% (+0.63)
Over 2.5 41.62% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 58.38% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 20.32% (-0.40)
Under 3.5 79.68% (+0.40)

Obolon Kyiv Goals

Over 0.5 39.22% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 60.78% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 11.96% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 88.04% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 2.94% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 97.06% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 0.46% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 99.54% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 75.6%
Draw 15.89%
Obolon Kyiv 8.54%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2-0 @ 13.14% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 11.52% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 11.19% (-0.22)
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.32%
Other @ 20.17% (-0.40)
Total : 75.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.28% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 4.79% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 15.89%
Obolon Kyiv
1-2 @ 3.07% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.72% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.05)
Total : 8.54%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 22, 2025 2.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 29, 2025 1.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Vadym Vitenchuk 37' yellowcard
  • Vladyslav Pryymak 43' yellowcard
  • goal Eguinaldo de Sousa Lemos 22'
  • goal Anton Hlushchenko 89'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 23, 2024 4.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena L'viv
  • Artem Bondarenko 17' goal
  • Lassina Traore 67' goal
  • Vinicius Augusto Tobias da Silva 76' yellowcard
  • Heorhiy Sudakov 79' goal
  • Newerton 90' goal
  • yellowcard Rostyslav Taranukha 20'
  • yellowcard Igor Medynskyi 33'
  • yellowcard Sergiy Sukhanov 72'
  • yellowcard Danylo Karas 87'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 30, 2024 11.00am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Obolon' Arena
  • Maksym Grysjo 38' yellowcard
  • Valerii Dubko 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Sergiy Sukhanov 45'+8' redcard
  • goal Danylo Sikan 16'
  • yellowcard Heorhiy Sudakov 29'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Kryskiv 33'
  • yellowcard Danylo Sikan 44'
  • goal Maryan Shved 45'+1'
  • goal Maryan Shved 90'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • Taras Stepanenko 63' yellowcard
  • Stav Lamkin 68' yellowcard
  • Egor Nazaryna 77' goal
  • yellowcard Artem Vovkun 25'
  • yellowcard Rostyslav Taranukha 32'
  • redcard Artem Vovkun 33'
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Pryymak 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Olexandr Rybka 90'+4'