Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Obolon Kyiv win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win was 0-1 (9.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.