Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 65.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.38% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.