Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.24% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.49%) and 2-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%) , while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.