Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Livyi Bereh
  • Artem Smolyakov 50' yellowcard
  • goal Newerton 1'
  • yellowcard Mykola Matvienko 61'

Metalist Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 1.30pm
Polissya 3 - 1 Metalist Kharkiv

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0 - 2 Shakhtar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Metalist Kharkiv 25.57% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 23.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Shakhtar Donetsk 51.36% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.28% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 23% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 54.41% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 45.59% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 32.38% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 67.61% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 4.5 20.27% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 79.73% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Metalist Kharkiv 20.79% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 42.14% ▼ (-0.43)
Shakhtar Donetsk 37.06% ▲ (+0.28)

Team To Score First

Metalist Kharkiv 35.47% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 6.8% ▼ (-0.13)
Shakhtar Donetsk 57.73% ▲ (+0.23)

Corners

Over 8 57.52% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 31.28% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 9 46.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 42.48% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 10.5 35.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 10.5 64.5% ▲ (+0.04)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 1.5 28.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 71.77% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 78.35% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 0.5 21.65% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 1.5 49.71% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 1.5 50.29% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 2.5 25.1% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 74.9% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 11.04% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 88.96% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Metalist Kharkiv 25.56%
Draw 23.07%
Shakhtar Donetsk 51.36%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.8% ▼ (-0.13)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.07%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 11% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 51.36%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Mar 15, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena L'viv
  • Pedrinho 62' yellowcard
  • Artem Bondarenko 63' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Isaque 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 80' yellowcard
  • Luca Meirelles 81' yellowcard
  • Vinícius Tobias 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Kalitvintsev 21'
  • yellowcard Ivan Lytvynenko 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Ermir Rashica 64'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Protsenko 64'
  • yellowcard Ivan Lytvynenko 64'
  • yellowcard Christian Mba 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Castillo 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Castillo 79'
  • yellowcard Christian Mba 79'
Ukrainian Premier League
Sep 13, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 3, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT KSK Nika
  • Oleksandr Zubkov 59' goal
  • Dmytro Kryskiv 78' goal
  • Taras Stepanenko 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andriy Boryachuk 65'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Livyy Bereh
  • Dmitriy Yusov 56' goal
  • Andriy Tkachuk 71' yellowcard
  • Mykyta Bezuglyy 90' yellowcard
  • Rostyslav Rusyn 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artem Bondarenko 27'
  • goal Mykola Matviyenko 30'
  • goal Lassina Traore 47'
  • yellowcard Lassina Traore 63'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2023 12.00pm
0
7
HT : 0 4
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 5'
  • goal Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 13'
  • goal Lassina Traore 38'
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 41'
  • goal Igor Kurilo 56' (OG)
  • goal Ivan Petryak 58'
  • goal Yaroslav Rakitskiy 66'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • Oleh Ocheretko 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andriy Remenyuk 72'