Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2026 1.30pm
Stadion Livyi Bereh

Metalist Kharkiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 10, 2026 1.30pm
Polissya 3 - 1 Metalist Kharkiv

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 1.30pm
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0 - 2 Shakhtar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv has a probability of 25.69% and a draw has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win is 1-0 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.31%).

Result

Metalist Kharkiv 25.69%
Draw 23.16% (-0.02)
Shakhtar Donetsk 51.1% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.18% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.74% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 23.26% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 54.14% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.86% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.22% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.79% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 20.07%
Under 4.5 79.93%

First Half Winner

Metalist Kharkiv 20.64% (-0.08)
Draw 42.57% (+0.08)
Shakhtar Donetsk 36.79% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Metalist Kharkiv 35.57% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.93% (+0.01)
Shakhtar Donetsk 57.5% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.58% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.2% (-0.07)
Under 8 31.22% (+0.02)
Over 9 46.19% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.39% (-0.06)
Under 9 42.42% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.53% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 64.47% (-0.16)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 1.5 28.26% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.74% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.1% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.9% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.96% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.04% (+0.02)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 78.12% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.88% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 49.36% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.64% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 24.84% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.16% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.84%
Under 3.5 89.16%

Score analysis

Metalist Kharkiv 25.69%
Draw 23.16%
Shakhtar Donetsk 51.09%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 6.54% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.33%
2-0 @ 3.78%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.08%
3-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 25.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.03% (-0.02)
Total : 23.16%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19%
Other @ 10.81% (+0.01)
Total : 51.09%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Mar 15, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena L'viv
  • Pedrinho 62' yellowcard
  • Artem Bondarenko 63' yellowcard
  • 63' yellowcard
  • Isaque 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ferreira 80' yellowcard
  • Luca Meirelles 81' yellowcard
  • Vinícius Tobias 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladyslav Kalitvintsev 21'
  • yellowcard Ivan Lytvynenko 63'
  • yellowcard 63'
  • yellowcard Ermir Rashica 64'
  • yellowcard Yaroslav Protsenko 64'
  • yellowcard Ivan Lytvynenko 64'
  • yellowcard Christian Mba 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Castillo 78'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Castillo 79'
  • yellowcard Christian Mba 79'
Ukrainian Premier League
Sep 13, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 3, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT KSK Nika
  • Oleksandr Zubkov 59' goal
  • Dmytro Kryskiv 78' goal
  • Taras Stepanenko 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andriy Boryachuk 65'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Livyy Bereh
  • Dmitriy Yusov 56' goal
  • Andriy Tkachuk 71' yellowcard
  • Mykyta Bezuglyy 90' yellowcard
  • Rostyslav Rusyn 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artem Bondarenko 27'
  • goal Mykola Matviyenko 30'
  • goal Lassina Traore 47'
  • yellowcard Lassina Traore 63'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 16
Mar 5, 2023 12.00pm
0
7
HT : 0 4
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 5'
  • goal Bogdan Mykhaylichenko 13'
  • goal Lassina Traore 38'
  • goal Oleksandr Zubkov 41'
  • goal Igor Kurilo 56' (OG)
  • goal Ivan Petryak 58'
  • goal Yaroslav Rakitskiy 66'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 23, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • Oleh Ocheretko 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andriy Remenyuk 72'