Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 12, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Tsentralnyi Stadion
  • Vyacheslav Churko 18' yellowcard
  • Baton Zabergja 41' goal
  • Peter Mandela Itodo 65' goal
  • Denys Antyukh 75' yellowcard
  • Ari Moura 75' yellowcard
  • Igor Kogut 87' yellowcard
  • Christian Mba 87' yellowcard
  • goal Ambrosiy Chachua 52'
  • yellowcard Ambrosiy Chachua 60'
  • yellowcard Eriki 71'
  • yellowcard Andriy Buleza 71'
  • yellowcard Ilya Kvasnytsya 80'
  • yellowcard Artur Shakh 80'
  • yellowcard Denys Miroshnichenko 90'

Metalist Kharkiv vs Karpaty Lviv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 9, 2026 4.00pm
Luhansk 1 - 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Peter Mandela Itodo

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 8, 2026 11.00am
Kryvbas Kryvyi 1 - 0 Karpaty
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Yan Kostenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Metalist Kharkiv 42.9% (+0.05)
Draw 26.81% (-0.02)
Karpaty Lviv 30.29% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 28.37% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 46.6% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 53.4% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 24.41% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 75.59% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.89% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 87.11% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Metalist Kharkiv 33.15% (-0.03)
Draw 42.97% (+0.02)
Karpaty Lviv 23.88%

Team To Score First

Metalist Kharkiv 52.24% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.25%
Karpaty Lviv 39.51% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.64% (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.15% (+0.01)
Under 8 29.22% (+0.08)
Over 9 48.12% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 40.36% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 37.18% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 62.82% (+0.07)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 1.5 39.18% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.82% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.96% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.04% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.97% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.03% (-0.02)

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 0.5 64.71% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 35.29% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 29.34% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.66% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.19% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 89.81% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.79% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.21% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Metalist Kharkiv 42.89%
Draw 26.82%
Karpaty Lviv 30.28%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 11.13% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.37% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.11% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 4.96% (+0.01)
Total : 42.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.25%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.82%
Karpaty Lviv
0-1 @ 8.98%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.78% (-0.02)
Total : 30.28%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 22, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT