Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 12, 2026 4.00pm
Tsentralnyi Stadion

Metalist Kharkiv vs Karpaty Lviv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 9, 2026 4.00pm
Luhansk 1 - 1 Metalist Kharkiv
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Peter Mandela Itodo

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 8, 2026 11.00am
Kryvbas Kryvyi 1 - 0 Karpaty
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Yan Kostenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Karpaty Lviv has a probability of 30.33% and a draw has a probability of 26.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win is 0-1 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.98%).

Result

Metalist Kharkiv 42.85% (-0.01)
Draw 26.82% (-0.38)
Karpaty Lviv 30.33% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.24% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.64% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 28.36% (-0.41)
Over 2.5 46.62% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 53.38% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 24.4% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 75.6% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 12.9% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 87.1% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Metalist Kharkiv 33.17% (+0.11)
Draw 42.95% (+0.02)
Karpaty Lviv 23.88% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Metalist Kharkiv 52.25% (-1.01)
No Goal 8.25% (-0.22)
Karpaty Lviv 39.5% (+1.22)

Corners

Over 8 59.71% (-1.20)
Equal 8 11.14% (-0.06)
Under 8 29.14% (+1.25)
Over 9 48.19% (-1.03)
Equal 9 11.52% (-0.18)
Under 9 40.29% (+1.20)
Over 10.5 37.24% (-0.77)
Under 10.5 62.76% (+0.77)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 1.5 39.16% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.84% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 15.94% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.06% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.96% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.04% (+0.03)

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 0.5 64.75% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 35.25% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 29.38% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 70.62% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 10.22% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 89.78% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 2.8% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.2% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Metalist Kharkiv 42.85%
Draw 26.82%
Karpaty Lviv 30.32%
Metalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.57% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.95% (+0.01)
Total : 42.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 26.82%
Karpaty Lviv
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.3% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.69% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.69% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.84% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.79% (+0.09)
Total : 30.32%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 22, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT