Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Karpaty Lviv win was 0-1 (8.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.