Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 39.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.08% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 29.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (14.01%) , while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 1-0 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.