Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.77% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%) , while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.