Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 27
May 9, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky

Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist Kharkiv - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 4, 2026 4.00pm
Rukh Lviv 1 - 2 Luhansk
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Nemanja Anđušić

Metalist Kharkiv

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last game
May 3, 2026 1.30pm
Metalist Kharkiv 0 - 1 Polissya
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Peter Mandela Itodo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw has a probability of 27.21% and a win for Zorya Luhansk has a probability of 26.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.09%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it is 1-0 (8.97%).

Result

Zorya Luhansk 26.91% (+0.90)
Draw 27.21% (+0.27)
Metalist Kharkiv 45.83% (-1.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.14% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.98% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 31.02% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 43.06% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 56.94% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 22.25% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 77.75% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 11.56% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 88.44% (+0.26)

First Half Winner

Zorya Luhansk 22.38% (+0.40)
Draw 45.96% (+0.11)
Metalist Kharkiv 31.66% (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Zorya Luhansk 37.8% (+0.48)
No Goal 9.43% (+0.05)
Metalist Kharkiv 52.77% (-0.53)

Corners

Over 8 47.34% (+0.55)
Equal 8 12.45% (-0.06)
Under 8 40.21% (-0.48)
Over 9 35.65% (+0.54)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 52.66% (-0.55)
Over 10.5 25.6% (+0.49)
Under 10.5 74.4% (-0.48)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 1.5 24.94% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 75.06% (-0.86)
Over 2.5 7.52% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 92.48% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 2.01% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 97.99% (-0.14)

Metalist Kharkiv Goals

Over 0.5 73.43% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 26.57% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 39.37% (-0.98)
Under 1.5 60.63% (+0.98)
Over 2.5 16.68% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 83.32% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 5.3% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 94.7% (+0.44)

Score analysis

Zorya Luhansk 26.92%
Draw 27.22%
Metalist Kharkiv 45.82%
Zorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 8.97% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 6.37% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 4.61% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.02% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 1.52% (+0.22)
3-2 @ 1.43% (+0.09)
Other @ 2% (+0.13)
Total : 26.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.09% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 9.43% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.15% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.22%
Metalist Kharkiv
0-1 @ 12.58% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 8.2% (-0.31)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.01% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.07)
Other @ 5.29% (-0.43)
Total : 45.82%

Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
Nov 8, 2025 11.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Livyi Bereh
  • Eduardo Guerrero 41' goal
  • Eduardo Guerrero 76' goal
  • Alioune Ndour 88' yellowcard
  • Jakov Basic 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmitriy Yusov 26'
  • goal Dmitriy Yusov 63'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 15, 2023 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Livyy Bereh
  • Vladyslav Dmytrenko 6' goal
  • Andriy Boryachuk 28' goal
  • Beka Vachiberadze 62' yellowcard
  • Andrii Chyruk 77' yellowcard
  • Oleh Mozil 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Eduardo Guerrero 17'
  • yellowcard Dmytro Myshnyov 30'
  • yellowcard Denys Nagnoynyi 68'
  • yellowcard Wendell Silva Santos dos Santos 84'
  • yellowcard Ihor Snurnitsyn 86'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 25
May 8, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Evgeniy Shakhov 7' goal
  • Nazariy Rusyn 48' goal
  • Eduardo Guerrero 52' goal
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist
  • goal Vyacheslav Churko 38'
  • goal Denys Nagnoynyi 45'
  • goal Maksym Imerekov 58'
Ukrainian Premier League Gameweek 23
May 7, 2022 1.00am