Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.21% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.