Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 2-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.