Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.