Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.22% and a win for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (10.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%) , while for a Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.