Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2026 7.30pm
Allianz Arena

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.30pm
Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Dayot Upamecano

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 3 Schalke
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Tim Skarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.69%. A draw has a probability of 17.31% and a win for Union Berlin has a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.38%) , while for a Union Berlin win it is 1-2 (3.16%).

Result

Bayern Munich 71.69%
Draw 17.31%
Union Berlin 11%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.47%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.04%
Under 1.5 18.96%
Over 2.5 61.68%
Under 2.5 38.32%
Over 3.5 40.53%
Under 3.5 59.47%
Over 4.5 29.6%
Under 4.5 70.4%

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 50.54%
Draw 34.24%
Union Berlin 15.23%

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 59.8%
No Goal 5.24%
Union Berlin 34.96%

Corners

Over 8 74.97%
Equal 8 7.74%
Under 8 17.28%
Over 9 65.95%
Equal 9 9.03%
Under 9 25.02%
Over 10.5 56.16%
Under 10.5 43.84%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 66.82%
Under 1.5 33.18%
Over 2.5 42.57%
Under 2.5 57.43%
Over 3.5 22.63%
Under 3.5 77.37%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 41.76%
Under 0.5 58.24%
Over 1.5 16.24%
Under 1.5 83.76%
Over 2.5 4.88%
Under 2.5 95.12%
Over 3.5 1.24%
Under 3.5 98.76%

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 71.69%
Draw 17.32%
Union Berlin 11%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 10.91%
1-0 @ 10.71%
3-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.63%
3-1 @ 6.49%
3-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 22.58%
Total : 71.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.38%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 3.57%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 17.32%
Union Berlin
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-1 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 1.14%
0-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Michael Olise 43' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 45'+1' goal
  • Harry Kane 49' goal
  • Tom Bischof 61' yellowcard
  • Raphaël Guerreiro 61' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 67' goal
  • Hiroki Ito 71' yellowcard
  • Maycon Cardozo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrej Ilic 46'
  • yellowcard Tom Rothe 46'
  • yellowcard Alex Král 61'
  • yellowcard Woo-yeong Jeong 61'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 76'
DFB-Pokal
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Leopold Querfeld 40' goal
  • Leopold Querfeld 55' goal
  • Ilyas Ansah 80' yellowcard
  • Aljoscha Kemlein 87' yellowcard
  • Livan Burcu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ilyas Ansah 12' (OG)
  • goal Harry Kane 24'
  • goal Diogo Leite 45'+4' (OG)
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 54'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 55'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 55'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 81'
  • yellowcard Manuel Neuer 90'+1'
Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Josip Juranovic 58' yellowcard
  • Benedict Hollerbach 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 53'
  • goal Leroy Sane 75'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Harry Kane 15' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 43' goal
  • Harry Kane 51' goal
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 31'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Nenad Bjelica 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 90' goal
  • goal Leon Goretzka 29'
  • goal Harry Kane 45'+1'
  • goal Thomas Muller 53'
  • goal Mathys Tel 61'
  • goal Thomas Muller 66'