Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Bayern
Sep 18, 2026 7.30pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT Allianz Arena
Union Berlin
  • Jamal Musiala 18' goal
  • Harry Kane  39' goal
  • Michael Olise 43' goal
  • Dayot Upamecano 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane  54' goal
  • Ismael Saibari 70' goal
  • Michael Olise 73' goal
  • Michael Olise 76' goal
  • yellowcard Felix Uduokhai 38'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 42'
  • yellowcard Livan Burcu 78'

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.30pm
Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Michael Olise

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 3 Schalke
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Tim Skarke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.49%. A draw had a probability of 15.21% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 7.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.43%) , while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (2.22%).

Result

Bayern Munich 77.49% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 15.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Union Berlin 7.28% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 18.7% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 64.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 35.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 46.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 53.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 35.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 64.02% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bayern Munich 56.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 30.17% ▲ (+0.06)
Union Berlin 12.96% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Bayern Munich 68.84% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Union Berlin 25.73% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 71.94% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 8.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 19.9% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 62.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Equal 9 9.28%
Under 9 28.06% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 52.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 47.16% ▼ (-0.07)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 1.5 71.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 49.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.57% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 29.92%
Under 3.5 70.08%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 33.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 66.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 12.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 87.58% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Bayern Munich 77.5%
Draw 15.2%
Union Berlin 7.29%
Bayern Munich
2-0 @ 11.21%
1-0 @ 11.04%
3-0 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 29.65% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 77.5%
Draw
0-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.02)
1-1 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.08%
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.2%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 2.22%
1-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 7.29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Bayern
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Union Berlin
  • Michael Olise 43' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 45'+1' goal
  • Harry Kane 49' goal
  • Tom Bischof 61' yellowcard
  • Raphaël Guerreiro 61' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 67' goal
  • Hiroki Ito 71' yellowcard
  • Maycon Cardozo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrej Ilic 46'
  • yellowcard Tom Rothe 46'
  • yellowcard Alex Král 61'
  • yellowcard Woo-yeong Jeong 61'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 76'
DFB-Pokal
Union Berlin
Dec 3, 2025 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
Bayern
  • Leopold Querfeld 40' goal
  • Leopold Querfeld 55' goal
  • Ilyas Ansah 80' yellowcard
  • Aljoscha Kemlein 87' yellowcard
  • Livan Burcu 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ilyas Ansah 12' (OG)
  • goal Harry Kane 24'
  • goal Diogo Leite 45'+4' (OG)
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 54'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 55'
  • yellowcard Vincent Kompany 55'
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 81'
  • yellowcard Manuel Neuer 90'+1'
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Nov 8, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Bayern
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
Mar 15, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Bayern
  • Josip Juranovic 58' yellowcard
  • Benedict Hollerbach 83' goal
  • yellowcard Jamal Musiala 53'
  • goal Leroy Sane 75'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Bayern
Nov 2, 2024 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Arena
Union Berlin
  • Harry Kane 15' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 43' goal
  • Harry Kane 51' goal
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 31'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Union Berlin
Apr 20, 2024 5.30pm
1
5
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Bayern
  • Nenad Bjelica 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Yorbe Vertessen 90' goal
  • goal Leon Goretzka 29'
  • goal Harry Kane 45'+1'
  • goal Thomas Muller 53'
  • goal Mathys Tel 61'
  • goal Thomas Muller 66'

Form Data

Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern
Bayern 5 - 0 Bodo/Glimt
Schalke 0 - 0 Bayern
Osnabruck 1 - 4 Bayern
Bayern 5 - 1 Stuttgart
Dortmund 1 - 2 Bayern
Union Berlin 1 - 3 Schalke
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 3 - 3 Frankfurt
Braunschweig 2 - 4 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 2 - 4 Ipswich
Union Berlin 3 - 2 Aris Limassol