Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Sep 11, 2026 7.30pm
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 5.30pm
Schalke 0 - 0 Bayern

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 33.33% and a draw has a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Union Berlin win is 1-0 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).

Result

Union Berlin 33.33% (-0.06)
Draw 25.29% (-0.11)
Schalke 04 41.38% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.26% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.31% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 23.69% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 53.68% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 46.32% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 32.54% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 67.46% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 19.38% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 80.62% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 26.19% (+0.13)
Draw 34.76% (-0.07)
Schalke 04 39.05% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 42.51% (-0.07)
No Goal 7.01% (-0.11)
Schalke 04 50.48% (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 57.06% (-0.24)
Equal 8 11.1% (+0.02)
Under 8 31.84% (+0.24)
Over 9 45.81% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.25%
Under 9 42.94% (+0.24)
Over 10.5 35.31% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 64.69% (+0.22)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 35.22% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.78% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.51% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.49% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.6% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.4% (-0.02)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5 73.23% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 26.77% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 42.76% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 57.24% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 19.39% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 80.61% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 8.42% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 91.58% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 33.33%
Draw 25.29%
Schalke 04 41.37%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 7.46% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38%
Other @ 4.38% (+0.02)
Total : 33.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.29%
Schalke 04
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.18% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 3.98% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 8.2% (+0.07)
Total : 41.37%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
1
6
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Marius Bulter 31' goal
  • Malick Thiaw 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Morten Thorsby 6'
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 36'
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 46'
  • goal Janik Haberer 45'+3'
  • goal Sven Michel 87'
  • goal Sven Michel 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Christopher Trimmel 2' yellowcard
  • Florian Hubner 75' yellowcard
  • Petar Musa 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard William 34'
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Goncalo Paciencia 69' goal
  • Steven Skrzybski 71' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Paciencia 77' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 83' yellowcard
  • goal Marvin Friedrich 55'
  • yellowcard Grischa Promel 74'
Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Jun 7, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Robert Andrich 11' goal
  • Christopher Trimmel 36' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 37' yellowcard
  • Marvin Friedrich 73' yellowcard
  • goal Jonjoe Kenny 28'
  • yellowcard Juan Miranda 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 29, 2019 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT VELTINS-Arena (Gelsenkirchen)
  • Benito Raman 23' goal
  • Suat Serdar 86' goal
  • Weston McKennie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keven Schlotterbeck 22'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 36'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Andersson 38'
  • yellowcard Florian Hubner 42'
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 69'