Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 14, 2026 8.00pm
Stadio Olimpico

Roma vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Roma has a probability of 37.26% and a draw has a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (4.82%). The likeliest Roma win is 2-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.39%).

Result

Roma 37.26% ▲ (+0.34)
Draw 22.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Real Madrid 40.12% ▼ (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.84% ▲ (+0.46)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.61% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 16.39% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 64.62% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 35.38% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 43.34% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 3.5 56.66% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 4.5 28.62% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 4.5 71.38% ▼ (-0.72)

First Half Winner

Roma 30.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 41.14%
Real Madrid 28.56% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Roma 51.64% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 4% ▼ (-0.05)
Real Madrid 44.36% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 35.11% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 9 42.89% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 46.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 32.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 67.11% ▲ (+0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 44.25% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 55.75% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 2.5 21.31% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 2.5 78.69% ▼ (-0.58)
Over 3.5 9.23% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 3.5 90.77% ▼ (-0.41)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 73.72% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 26.28% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 46.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 23.69% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 76.31% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 10.4% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 89.6% ▼ (-0.22)

Score analysis

Roma 37.26%
Draw 22.61%
Real Madrid 40.12%
Roma
2-1 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.21% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 37.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 22.61%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.10)
0-1 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 40.12%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 11, 2019 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Diego Perotti 34' goal
  • Edin Dzeko 40' goal
  • goal Marcelo 16'
  • goal Casemiro 39'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 63'
Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 27, 2018 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 21'
  • goal Gareth Bale 47'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 59'
  • yellowcard Raphael Varane 90'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2018 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Sergio Ramos 23' yellowcard
  • Isco 45' goal
  • Gareth Bale 58' goal
  • Mariano 90' goal
  • yellowcard Daniele De Rossi 44'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 76'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 8, 2018 1.05am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marco Asensio 2' goal
  • Gareth Bale 15' goal
  • Dani Ceballos 50' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Strootman 83'
Champions League
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danilo 37' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 64' goal
  • James Rodriguez 68' goal
  • yellowcard Ervin Zukanovic 76'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 18, 2015 10.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground