Serie A Gameweek 5
Roma
Sep 19, 2026 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Inter Milan
  • Manu Koné 6' goal
  • Manu Koné 37' goal
  • Evan Ndicka 73' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Koulierakis 82' yellowcard
  • Daniele Ghilardi 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolò Barella 11'
  • goal Lautaro Martínez  46'
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 57'
  • goal Lautaro Martínez  79'

Roma vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 5.30pm
Torino 0 - 2 Roma
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Donyell Malen

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 7.45pm
Inter Milan 5 - 3 Udinese
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Lautaro Martínez 

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Roma 38.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Inter Milan 34.93% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.29% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 44.63% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 33.12% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 66.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 19.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.7% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Roma 30.1%
Draw 45.98%
Inter Milan 23.92%

Team To Score First

Roma 49.06%
No Goal 6% ▲ (+0.02)
Inter Milan 44.94% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.63% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 8 12.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 36.96% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 9 38.66% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 49.37% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 10.5 28.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 71.89% ▼ (-0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 1.5 41.63% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 58.37% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 17.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 82.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 6.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.69% ▲ (+0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 16.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 83.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.02% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Roma 38.75%
Draw 26.32%
Inter Milan 34.93%
Roma
2-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.16% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 38.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.26% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 26.32%
Inter Milan
1-2 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 34.93%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 31
Inter Milan
Apr 5, 2026 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Lautaro Martínez 1' goal
  • Hakan Çalhanoğlu 45'+2' goal
  • Lautaro Martínez 52' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 55' goal
  • Ange-Yoan Bonny 58' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 58' yellowcard
  • Nicolò Barella 63' goal
  • Pio Esposito 66' yellowcard
  • Pio Esposito 67' yellowcard
  • Petar Sučić 67' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 76' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Mancini 40'
  • yellowcard Daniele Ghilardi 46'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Tsimikas 58'
  • yellowcard Stephan El Shaarawy 64'
  • goal Lorenzo Pellegrini 70'
  • yellowcard Jan Ziolkowski 81'
Serie A European Under-21s Championship
Roma
Oct 18, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Inter Milan
Serie A Gameweek 34
Inter Milan
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Lautaro Martinez 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 3'
  • goal Matias Soule 22'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 63'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Roma
Oct 20, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
Inter Milan
  • Bryan Cristante 50' yellowcard
  • Niccolo Pisilli 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 35'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 48'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 60'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 68'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Correa 78'
Serie A Gameweek 24
Roma
Feb 10, 2024 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Inter Milan
  • Gianluca Mancini 28' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 44' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 47' yellowcard
  • Dean Huijsen 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Acerbi 17'
  • goal Marcus Thuram 49'
  • goal Angelino 56' (OG)
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 10
Inter Milan
Oct 29, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Benjamin Pavard 33' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 56' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Bastoni 64' yellowcard
  • Marcus Thuram 81' goal
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 13'
  • yellowcard Evan N'Dicka 47'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 50'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 68'

Form Data

Torino 0 - 2 Roma
Fenerbahce 1 - 1 Roma
Roma 2 - 1 Atalanta
Lecce 0 - 4 Roma
Roma 4 - 0 Fiorentina
Dortmund 2 - 2 Roma
Inter Milan 5 - 3 Udinese
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 3 - 2 Napoli
Cagliari 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 4 - 1 Monza
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Betis